NL East Division Race – Schedule
Posted by Kris N. on August 6, 2010
So, The Mets and Fish are out, by 8 and 9 games. One big factor in determining who’s a lock for the division is teams schedule. Naturally, the team with the harder schedule is thought of to have a disadvantage. So without haste, I’d like to look at the 2010 Atlanta Braves and 2010 Philadelphia Phillies schedules.
A few things you can take away (and things you should know):
- Braves play fewer good teams
- Of those good teams for the Braves, 66% are at home (where they are best in the MLB).
- Phillies play less terrible teams, but have a record of destroying them (23 – 12)
- Phillies struggle vs. the good teams they face (.448 winning %)
- Phillies play the good teams at home 44%
- The New York Mets are considered a .500+ team (54 – 54 record)
The Phillies will have to beat the teams they’re supposed to beat. Period. There is no way they can post a losing record vs. those bad teams and win the division. They already have a losing record vs. the good teams they face, but granted, so do the Braves. However, the Braves play as many good teams as as many bad (27 – 27), and four less good teams than the Phillies. One big factor for the Braves is the Washington Nationals (Ugh.) and the Florida Marlins (UGH!). They are a combined 9 – 9 against them and none of those wins, or loses, were easy. They play the Nats and Fish 18 more times, 12 of them are at home, thankfully.
Phillies and Braves match up in Atlanta on October 1st, 2nd, and 3rd for the season finale.
So… Who Has The Easier Schedule
The Braves. They play more games at home, where they dominate. They play less good teams, and more bad teams. Now this doesn’t mean the division is a lock, this is merely one aspect. Look for that last series to offer a huge game swing.
That’s it for me, folks!
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